Model

Parameter

Mean

S. D.

95% Credible interval

α

0.9232

0.03081

(0.867, 0.9848)

PLP

β

2.244

0.5621

(1.311, 3.504)

MOP

α

6964.0

1511.0

(4185.0,9657.0)

β

2238.0

399.1

(1505.0, 2921.0)

GOP

α

2818.0

719.0

(1943.0, 4624.0)

β

0.0001205

0.0000298

(0.000064, 0.000182)

GGOP

α

2229.0

655.6

(1502.0, 4248.0)

β

0.000104

0.000028

(0.000061, 0.00017)

γ

1.058

0.05368

(0.9554, 1.159)

MOP with

α

4421.0

1071.0

(2862.0,7115.0)

cyclic factor

β

1580.0

288.7

(1156.0, 2298.0)

δ

7.694

0.6225

(6.455, 8.840)

θ

0.01782

0.000031

(0.0178, 0.01789)

Tabel 1: Posterior sumaries.