Station   CCCma HadCM3 SRNIES   CSIRO   A2 B2 A2 B2 A2 B2 A2 B2 Balakot R2 0.059 0.06 0.01 0.02 0.004 0.004 0.0 0.0 RMSE 4.48 4.5 4.0 4.0 4.73 4.73 4.9 4.9 Garhi Dopatta R2 0.06 0.07 0.02 0.02 0.003 0.003 0.0 0.0 RMSE 3.80 3.82 3.27 3.28 3.97 3.97 4.12 4.12 Muzaffar Abad R2 0.04 0.04 0.003 0.003 0.0 0.0 0.005 0.005 RMSE 3.59 3.60 3.0 3.0 3.53 3.53 3.70 3.70 Naran R2 0.24 0.24 0.74 0.73 0.97 0.97 0.86 0.86 RMSE 2.18 2.19 0.96 0.97 2.35 2.36 2.47 2.47

Table 4: Comparison of statistical parameters obtained from different GCMs relative to observed precipitation for the period 1961-1990 for the upper Jhelum basin.