Year

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

Mean

S.D.

Annual Mean Temp

12.86

11.4

11.91

12.57

12.77

12.27

12.32

12.3

0.51

All Species

r model-observed

0.93

0.54

0.82

0.91

0.83

0.92

0.85

0.83

0.13

r model-temp

0.97

0.93

0.93

0.98

0.97

0.89

0.94

0.94

0.03

r temp-observed

0.96

0.76

0.93

0.84

0.75

0.94

0.77

0.85

0.09

P-value*

0.28

0

0.03

0.10

0.02

0.11

0.01

   

Native Species

r model-observed

0.95

0.62

0.89

0.94

0.92

0.95

0.86

0.88

0.12

r model-temp

0.98

0.94

0.93

0.98

0.98

0.89

0.95

0.95

0.03

r temp-observed

0.95

0.82

0.91

0.87

0.86

0.87

0.82

0.87

0.05

P-value

0.45

0.01

0.37

0.72

0.3

0.58

0.01

   

Non-native Species 

r model-observed

0.59

0.31

0.47

0.75

0.51

0.82

0.77

0.60

0.19

r model-temp

0.92

0.91

0.93

0.99

0.96

0.89

0.91

0.93

0.03

r temp-observed

0.59

0.54

0.7

0.66

0.38

0.93

0.55

0.62

0.17

P-value

0.02

0

0

0.05

0

0.08

0.06

   
* P-values calculated by [34]. Significant (α = 0.05) values in bold.
Table 1: Annual mean temperature (°C), and correlation coefficients for 1) predicted and empirical recruitment richness, 2) predicted richness and temperature, and 3) empirical recruitment richness and temperature.