Locality Index of focus area π11i posterior estimate Hi posterior estimate Relative risk ri in focus area (poster-ior mean) Indices of areas in locality (other than focus) Modelled relative risk R3i across locality Pr(R3i >1) (elevated locality risk) SMR across locality
Distance Decay Coefficient (γ) equals 1
1 710 0.833 0.969 1.77 709, 711, 712 1.52 0.978 1.58
2 16 0.831 0.985 1.76 5, 10, 11, 15, 17, 21, 22, 25 1.40 1.000 1.87
3 594 0.825 0.967 1.59 590, 592, 593, 595, 597, 599 1.43 0.997 2.15
4 11 0.815 0.964 1.61 5, 8, 15, 16 1.41 0.997 2.01
5 711 0.810 0.888 1.49 709, 710, 712 1.55 0.984 1.58
6 595 0.754 0.889 1.39 593, 594, 596, , 599 1.38 0.988 1.84
7 249 0.748 0.964 1.58 247, 248, 251, 252 1.34 0.986 1.78
8 597 0.730 0.957 1.60 594, 599, 601 1.36 0.975 1.90
9 856 0.728 0.975 1.66 849, 851, 853, 857, 858, 859 1.33 0.988 1.96
10 337 0.723 0.979 1.70 332, 334, 340, 542 1.37 0.983 1.65
11 712 0.715 0.853 1.43 707, 709, 710, 711 1.43 0.971 1.30
12 333 0.712 0.912 1.45 330, 334, 336, 340 1.29 0.967 1.64
13 10 0.711 0.881 1.41 2, 5, 6, 13, 16, 17 1.32 0.992 1.76
14 732 0.709 0.933 1.52 27, 728, 729, 731, 736 1.35 0.963 1.64
15 15 0.709 0.860 1.34 8, 11, 16, 18, 21 1.36 0.996 1.79
Distance Decay Coefficient (γ) equals 0.5
1 594 0.839 0.972 1.64 590, 592, 593, 595, 597, 599 1.47 0.998 2.15
2 16 0.831 0.988 1.80 5, 10, 11, 15, 17, 21, 22, 25 1.41 0.999 1.87
3 11 0.818 0.968 1.67 5, 8, 15, 16 1.44 0.995 2.01
4 710 0.789 0.973 1.78 709, 711, 712 1.47 0.977 1.58
5 249 0.763 0.967 1.64 247, 248, 251, 252 1.37 0.984 1.78
6 711 0.763 0.895 1.48 709, 710, 712 1.49 0.980 1.58
7 595 0.754 0.894 1.42 593, 594, 596, 599 1.39 0.988 1.84
8 856 0.749 0.978 1.71 849, 851, 853, 857, 858, 859 1.36 0.993 1.96
9 597 0.726 0.959 1.66 594, 599, 601 1.38 0.978 1.90
10 251 0.722 0.871 1.38 247, 249, 251, 252, 258 1.46 1.000 2.18
11 15 0.715 0.868 1.37 8, 11, 16, 18, 21 1.39 0.994 1.79
12 10 0.713 0.895 1.42 2, 5, 6, 13, 16, 17 1.33 0.993 1.76
13 333 0.713 0.915 1.48 330, 334, 336, 340 1.30 0.965 1.64
14 258 0.705 0.999 2.16 250, 251, 252, 255, 259, 262, 264 1.38 0.998 1.66
Table 3: Elevated locality risks, local join-count statistics and distance decay options.