A projection of the lead time distribution for men

	β=0.3				β=0.5
	κ=2.3 ρ=0.698
Δ^a		1-P₀	EL^c	Med^d		1-P₀	EL^c	Med^d
Initial Screening Age t₀=40
1 Year	51.81	48.19	4.57	3	31.44	68.56	3.96	3.2
2 Years	82.37	17.63	0.76	1.8	61.49	38.51	0.88	2.4
Initial Screening Age t₀=50
1 Year	51.49	48.51	4.92	2.1	31.51	68.49	4.49	2.1
2 Years	80.28	19.72	1.1	1.4	60.28	39.72	1.29	1.7
Initial Screening Age t₀=60
1 Year	51.33	48.67	4.11	1.9	31.84	68.16	3.99	1.9
2 Years	77.88	22.12	1.23	1.4	58.98	41.02	1.45	1.6

^aTime between screenings (t_i–t_i-1)
^bP₀=P(L=0|D=1)=Probability of no early detection (%)
^cThe mean lead time is in years
^dThe median when L>0 (for non-interval cases)

Table 3: A projection of the lead time distribution for men when mean sojourn time=2 years.