β=0.3 β=0.5
  κ=2.3 ρ=0.1395
Δa image 1-P0 ELc Medd image 1-P0 ELc Medd

Initial Screening Age t0=40

1 Year

14.35

85.65

7.01

4.7

4.99

95.01

7.58

4.5

2 Years

28.32

71.68

3.72

4.1

12.68

87.32

4.45

4

Initial Screening Age t0=50

1 Year

16.85

83.15

7.61

4

6.63

93.37

8.5

3.8

2 Years

30.49

69.51

4.55

3.4

14.63

85.37

5.54

3.3

Initial Screening Age t0=60

1 Year

20.69

79.31

6.93

3.6

9.12

90.88

7.92

3.4

2 Years

34.12

65.88

4.56

3

17.67

82.33

5.64

3

aTime between screenings (ti–ti-1)
bP0=P(L=0|D=1)=Probability of no early detection (%)
cThe mean lead time is in years
dThe median when L>0 (for non-interval cases)
Table 4: A projection of the lead time distribution for men when mean sojourn time=10 years.