A projection of the lead time distribution for men

	β=0.8				β=0.9
	κ=2.3 ρ=0.698
Δ^a		1-P₀	EL^c	Med^d		1-P₀	EL^c	Med^d
Initial Screening Age t₀=40
1 Year	15.3	84.7	2.09	4.5	12.65	87.35	1.69	4.4
2 Years	40.08	59.92	0.73	4.1	35.27	64.73	0.75	4.2
Initial Screening Age t₀=50
1 Year	15.3	84.7	3.08	2.1	12.55	87.45	1.9	2
2 Years	39.5	60.5	1.29	2.1	34.69	65.31	1.7	2
Initial Screening Age t₀=60
1 Year	15.42	84.58	3.29	1.7	12.51	87.49	2.97	1.6
2 Years	38.87	61.13	1.6	1.7	34.03	65.97	1.66	1.6

^aTime between screenings (t_i–t_i-1)
^bP₀=P(L=0|D=1)=Probability of no early detection (%)
^cThe mean lead time is in years
^dThe median when L>0 (for non-interval cases)

Table 5: A projection of the lead time distribution for women when mean sojourn time=2 years.