Parameter Model Estimation P AAF Mortality males 0.1.1* 0.073 0 0.624 Mortality females 0.1.1 0.062 0 0.564 *The general form of non-seasonal ARIMA model is (p,d,q), where p - the order of the autoregressive parameter, d - the order of differencing, and q - the order of the moving average parameter. Q test for residuals are satisfactory in all models.

Table 2: Estimated effects (bivariate ARIMA model) of overall alcohol consumption on accident mortality rates and alcohol-attributable deaths to all accident deaths by gender.