| Δtmonths |
Mean probability (S.E.), % |
| P(SympF) |
P(NoED) |
P(TrueED) |
P(OverD) |
| Age at first screening t0= 40 |
| 6 |
84.50 (1.36) |
2.97 (1.15) |
11.89 (2.00) |
0.53 (0.30) |
| 12 |
84.59 (1.36) |
6.10 (0.92) |
8.76 (1.34) |
0.44 (0.29) |
| 24 |
84.69 (1.36) |
9.41 (1.19) |
5.45 (0.72) |
0.34 (0.27) |
| Age at first screening t0= 50 |
| 6 |
85.05 (1.53) |
2.86 (1.12) |
11.52 (2.02) |
0.55 (0.32) |
| 12 |
85.14 (1.52) |
5.86 (0.94) |
8.52 (1.37) |
0.46 (0.31) |
| 24 |
85.24 (1.52) |
9.05 (1.25) |
5.33 (0.75) |
0.36 (0.28) |
| Age at first screening t0= 60 |
| 6 |
87.11 (1.53) |
2.42 (0.96) |
9.87 (1.79) |
0.59 (0.34) |
| 12 |
87.21 (1.52) |
4.95 (0.86) |
7.34 (1.24) |
0.49 (0.33) |
| 24 |
87.32 (1.52) |
7.63 (1.16) |
4.65 (0.72) |
0.39 (0.31) |
Notes: Each row should add up to 100%, however, due to simulation accuracy,
it is not exactly 100%; Δt=ti–ti-1 is the proposed time interval between screenings.
Abbreviations: Outcome: NoED: No Early Detection; OverD: Over Diagnosis;
SympF: Symptom Free Life; TrueED: True Early Detection; SE: Standard Error. |
