|
β=0.8 |
β=0.9 |
|
κ=2.3 ρ=0.1395 |
Δa |
 |
1-P0 |
ELc |
Medd |
 |
1-P0 |
ELc |
Medd |
Initial Screening Age t0=40 |
1 Year |
1.02 |
98.98 |
6.9 |
4.6 |
0.64 |
99.36 |
7.09 |
4.4 |
2 Years |
3.59 |
96.41 |
4.25 |
4.3 |
2.53 |
97.47 |
1.39 |
4.2 |
Initial Screening Age t0=50 |
1 Year |
1.42 |
98.58 |
9.27 |
3.6 |
0.8 |
99.2 |
9.65 |
3.5 |
2 Years |
4.14 |
95.86 |
6.31 |
3.3 |
2.72 |
97.28 |
2.32 |
3.2 |
Initial Screening Age t0=60 |
1 Year |
2.06 |
97.94 |
9.29 |
3.2 |
1.09 |
98.91 |
9.7 |
3.1 |
2 Years |
5.07 |
94.93 |
6.8 |
2.9 |
3.09 |
96.91 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
|
aTime between screenings (ti–ti-1)
bP0=P(L=0|D=1)=Probability of no early detection (%)
cThe mean lead time is in years
dThe median when L>0 (for non-interval cases) |
Table 6: A projection of the lead time distribution for women when mean sojourn time=10 years. |