**Figure 1: **Results of simulation exercise for prediction of probability of outcome based on risk indicator values. Note that scaled risk indicator values are indicated
on the figure, but unscaled values were used for calculation. Panel A, B, and C represent predictions based on different values of the mortality rate in the
population. Panel A demonstrates the pattern associated with mortality rate of 0.0174, close to general US population. Panel B and Panel C demonstrate patterns
associated with high (0.075) and low (0.005) mortality rates. |