Males Females Age Model Estimates SE р Model Estimates SE р 15-29 0.1.1 0.051 0.025 0.050 0.1.1 0.035 0.032 0.288 30-44 0.1.1 0.098 0.019 0.000 0.1.1 0.074 0.015 0.000 45-59 0.1.0 0.071 0.017 0.000 0.1.0 0.053 0.015 0.002 60-74 0.1.0 0.038 0.013 0.007 0.1.0 0.018 0.011 0.137 75+ 0.1.0 0.019 0.013 0.170 0.1.0 0.010 0.010 0.339 15-75+ 0.1.0 0.033 0.012 0.010 0.1.0 0.017 0.010 0.050

Table 2: Estimated effects of vodka sales on stroke mortality rates. ARIMA analysis. The general form of non-seasonal ARIMA model is (p,d,q), where p: the order of the autoregressive parameter, d: the order of differencing, and q: the order of the moving average parameter. Q test for residuals are satisfactory in all models.