Climate models GHGES Annual rainfall erosivity (MJ mm ha-1 h-1 yr-1)   Mean change (%) Stdev. Min Max Mean Baseline   3679 7869 5503 0.00 851 2011-2040             ECHAM4 A2 3236 9094 5550 0.85 948   B2 3081 8922 5212 -5.29 884 GFDL R-30 A2 4790 6316 5249 -4.62 457   B2 6335 9136 6828 24.08 796 NCAR CCSM3 A2 5158 6097 5601 1.78 210   A1B 5202 6211 5675 3.13 226   B1 5280 6239 5736 4.23 215 HadCM3 A2 3923 9612 6266 13.87 1144   B2 3622 9330 5894 7.11 1116 Average   4514 7884 5779 5.02 666 2041-2070             ECHAM4 A2 3345 9296 5692 3.43 938   B2 3163 9192 5509 0.11 945 GFDL R-30 A2 4373 5978 4960 -9.87 476   B2 6831 10068 7347 33.51 950 NCAR CCSM3 A2 5573 6488 6012 9.25 200   A1B 5841 6866 6329 15.01 225   B1 5573 6661 6089 10.65 242 HadCM3 A2 4108 10366 6554 19.10 1217   B2 3811 9721 6145 11.67 1140 Average   4735 8293 6071 10.32 704 2071-2099             ECHAM4 A2 4002 11183 6709 21.92 1103   B2 3272 9639 5570 1.22 983 GFDL R-30 A2 4386 6030 5060 -8.05 471   B2 6467 9410 7444 35.27 776 NCAR CCSM3 A2 5668 6652 6152 11.79 218   A1B 5780 6604 6217 12.97 169   B1 5415 6474 5906 7.32 240 HadCM3 A2 4447 11383 7153 29.98 1338   B2 4054 10031 6349 15.37 1183 Average   4832 8601 6284 14.20 720

Table 4: Spatial statistics of annual rainfall erosivity and mean changes for all climate projections, as compared to the baseline period (1971-2000).