Tropical Cyclone Climatology

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Tropical Cyclone Climatology

The effects of climate change on tropical cyclone behavior and activity have been given special attention due to the uncertainty embedded in tropical cyclone systems and the potential impacts it may impose on human civilizations. Current research has enhanced the understanding of tropical cyclone formation despite the lack of a definitive climate relationship. Geological and biological proxies have been used to investigate the intensity and frequency of prehistoric tropical cyclones resulting in more robust and extended modern records. High resolution climate model projections have consistently found an increase in the frequency of intense tropical cyclones and a decrease in the frequency of global tropical cyclones. Recent observational trends in tropical cyclone basins have shown to be consistent with the models. Overall, climate models are becoming finer in resolution and better equipped in generating the intensity and frequency of tropical cyclones in the current and future climate. This will provide a better understanding on how climate change affects tropical cyclones and enable decision makers to act based on their activity. Read more...

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