alexa Euclidean Norm in Composite Severity Score to Evaluate an Allergic Reaction from Conjunctival Provocations | Open Access Journals
ISSN: 2157-7420
Journal of Health & Medical Informatics
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Euclidean Norm in Composite Severity Score to Evaluate an Allergic Reaction from Conjunctival Provocations

Anatoli Astvatsatourov1,2* and Ralph Mosges1

1Institute of Medical Statistics, Informatics and Epidemiology, University Hospital of Cologne, Lindenburger Allee 42,50931 Cologne, Germany

2Cologne Ophthalmological Reading and Image Analysis Center, Experimental Ophthalmology, University Hospital of Cologne, Kerpener Str. 62, 50937 Cologne, Germany

*Corresponding Author:
Anatoli Astvatsatourov
1Institute of Medical Statistics
Informatics and Epidemiology University Hospital Cologne
Lindenburger Allee 42, Cologne, Germany
Tel: 81-859-22-6856
E-mail: [email protected]

Received date: April 24, 2014; Accepted date: July 28, 2014; Published date: July 31, 2014

Citation: Astvatsatourov A, Mosges R (2014) Euclidean Norm in Composite Severity Score to Evaluate an Allergic Reaction from Conjunctival Provocations. J Health Med Informat 5:159. doi:10.4172/2157-7420.1000159

Copyright: © 2014 Astvatsatourov A, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Keywords

Allergy diagnosis; Conjunctival provocation; Severity score; Composite score; Allergic rhinoconjunctivitis

Introduction

The conjunctival provocation test (CPT) is a diagnostic procedure for testing airborne allergens causing allergic rhinoconjunctivitis [1,2]. It has been thoroughly evaluated with regard to its precision [3] and compared with nasal provocation tests [4]. Nowadays, the CPT is used for evaluation of allergic rhinoconjunctivitis [5,6] and is accepted by regulatory authorities as an outcome parameter in dose-finding trials.

The CPT consists of several conjunctival challenges with increasing allergen concentrations. Each challenge is an instillation of the ophthalmic solution containing an allergen. The conjunctiva allergic reaction is assessed after each challenge by the numerical score. If the score is equal or higher than the threshold value, the CPT stops. In the considered clinical study the allergic reaction to each challenge was assessed in terms of severity scores 0 ≤ si ≤ 4, by use of the Gronemeyer’s grading scale [4,7], presented in Table 1. The CPT was performed with a maximum of three allergen challenges (1 ≤ i ≤ 3). The used diluted allergen solutions are: 100, 1000 and 10 000 SQ-E/ml (‘ALK-lyophilized SQ’, ALK Abell´o A/S, Hørsholm, Denmark) for first, possible second and third challenges, respectively.

Severity score(si) Descriptionofthe severity
0 Stage 0: no subjective or visible reaction
1 Stage 1: itching, reddening, foreign body sensation
2 Stage 2: stage 1+tearing, vasodilation of conjunctiva bulbi (threshold value)
3 Stage 3: stage 2+vasodilation and erythema of conjunctiva tarsi, blepharospasm
4 Stage 4: stage 3+chemosis, lid swelling (did not occurred during this study)

Table 1: Gronemeyer’s grading scale to assess allergic severity in CPT [4]. Threshold value for positive CPT is 2.

The CPT steps are:

1 Before challenge, the right (control) eye is treated with a diluent without an allergen to reveal possible non-allergic reaction. If control reaction is positive, the patient is excluded from the study.

2 If control reaction is negative, a single drop of allergen solution with the lowest titration, 100 SQ-E/ml, is put into the left (provocation) eye. If the assessed severity score is s1 ≥ 2, the allergic reaction is positive and the CPT is complete. Here, the number of challenges to reach a positive reaction is n=1.

3 If the allergic reaction to 100 SQ-E/ml is negative (i.e. s1<2), the solution with the next higher concentration, 1000 SQ-E/ml, is applied. If s2 ≥ 2, the positive CPT result is reached at n=2.

4 If the reaction to 1000 SQ-E/ml results in s2<2, a drop with the highest concentration 10 000 SQ-E/ml is applied. If the CPT is negative to application of 10 000 SQ-E/ml, the patient is excluded from the study. Otherwise the positive CPT result is reached at n=3.

When accessing the reactive threshold only, non-zero information derived from challenges at lower concentrations is lost. For an accurate comparison of the allergic severity before and after the treatment, one should take into account non-zero severity scores of lower challenges, where the threshold value is still not reached and some allergic symptoms are already obviously observed. Therefore, it is suggested to estimate the severity with the composite score.

Method

The CPT is considered to be positive and complete, if the severity score si is equal or greater than the threshold value sth=2. Here, i is the challenge number, 1 ≤ i ≤ 3. The composite score Cj is calculated for the j-th patient (1 ≤ j ≤ N) as an Euclidean norm of severity scores si, divided by the square number of challenges n2 (n=i, if si ≥ 2):

image (1)

At a maximum of three challenges, at 0 ≤ si ≤ 4 and at sth=2, Equation 1 conforms to the following two requirements:

• Each combination of the si results in a unique Cj .

• The decreasing Cj value indicates an improvement of allergic severity (hyposensitisation). The Cj, calculated for all possible 0 ≤ si≤ 4 with sth=2 and 1 ≤ n ≤ 3, are presented in Table 2.

n=1 n=2 n=3
s1 s2 s3 Cj s1 s2 s3 Cj s1 s2 s3 Cj
4 4.00 1 4 1.03 1 1 4 0.47
3 3.00 0 4 1.00 0 1 4 0.46
2 2.00 1 3 0.79 0 0 4 0.44
  0 3 0.75 1 1 3 0.37
1 2 0.56 0 1 3 0.35
0 2 0.50 0 0 3 0.33
  1 1 2 0.27
0 1 2 0.25
0 0 2 0.22
1 1 1 0.19
0 1 1 0.16
0 0 1 0.11

Table 2: Composite score Cj of the jth patient, calculated by Equation 1 for all possible combinations of the assessed severity scores, according to the grading conditions, used in the described study.

A mean of the composite score at “time-x” for a group of N (tx) patients is:

image(2)

The change of the mean composite score between “time-0” and “time-1” represents the therapeutic effect:

image(3)

The number of patients participating in the CPT study at “time-1” N(t1) can be smaller than the number of patients at “time-0” N(t0) if someone drops out before the visit at “time-1”. To avoid bias only patients tested both at “time-0” and at “time-1” must be considered, i.e. N(tx) in Equation 2 must be N(t0) ∩ N(t1) ≡ N(t1). However, the number of challenges can change for some patients at “time-1” in a positive or negative direction. In order to estimate fluctuations φ induced by changes in the number of challenges for some patients, the following procedure is suggested:

1 The difference of the single score is calculated for each j∗-th patient:

image

Here, j denotes those patients, who were tested both at “time-0” and at “time-1”, i.e. 1≤ j* ≤ N (t1).

2 The value ΔCj* is introduced for each j*-th patient. It is calculated as an Euclidean norm of Δsi,j* divided by the square minimal number of challenges n*2 , n*=min(n(t0) , n(t1)), taking into account the sign of each Δsi,j*:

image

image

3 For a group of patients N (t1) the arithmetic mean of the ΔCj* -values is:

image

4 The maximal fluctuation φmax is defined as an absolute difference of values calculated in Equations 3 and 4:

image

Results

The therapeutic effect obtained in a randomized controlled doubleblind dose-finding study of 159 patients with birch pollen allergy is presented in Figure 1. Here, quantitative values of the triangle data points, connected with a solid line, are calculated by Equations 1-3 for 150 patients, which have participated all study visits. The triangles show the therapeutic effect, as a change in the mean composite score image , for four groups of patients treated with the medicament in four different doses M1–M4, respectively. The dots connected with the dashed line in Figure 1 indicate the qualitative success of the therapy for the M1–M4 treatment groups. This qualitative estimation represents the normalized number of patients in each M1–M4 group, whose symptoms are improved. The normalization factor is 123 (82% of 150)–number of patients with improved symptoms in all treatment groups. The CPT was carried out before and after the treatment. Error bars of the quantitative values, shown by the triangle points represent statistical errors of the mean and the error bars of the qualitative dot points–the square root of the number of patients in the corresponding M1–M4 group.

health-medical-Therapeutic

Figure 1: Therapeutic effect ( Δ͞C ), calculated by Equations 1, 2 and 3 for four patients groups, each of which was treated with one of the medication doses M1–M4 is shown by triangles, connected with solid line. Error bars represent statistical errors of the mean. The dots connected with dashed line represent the qualitative estimation of the therapeutic effect for patients with improved symptoms. Error bars represent a square root of number of patients in the corresponding dose group.

The image value, calculated by Equation 4, is shown as the upper limit of the shadowed area. The shadowed area represents the fluctuation φ with the maximal value φmax of the Equation 5. The fluctuation is induced by the difference of N(t1) from N(t0) and by changes in the number of challenges at “time-0” and “time-1”. The improvement of the allergic reaction increases from the treatment dosage M1 to M3 where image reaches a plateau and remains on a fairly constant level. To determine the statistical significance the U-test is used. The significance level of α=5% for the therapy effect is not reached in the assessment of the difference between the dosage groups. The obtained p-value in the U-test is less than 0.1.

Discussion

Comparison of the composite score values (triangles in Figure 1) with the qualitative values (dots in Figure 1) shows a clear advantage of the technique, which is sensitive to all scores and to the number of applied solutions. However, the described method is novel in the allergic severity assessments and requires the validation, which is planned to be done in the coming studies, including assessments of the test-retest reliability, convergent and discriminant validity.

A change in the CPT solution doses or in the dilution ratio should not affect the form of the therapeutic effect distribution, which is supposed to have a logarithmic behavior. However, the statistical effects can affect the distribution.

Summary

The developed method for calculating a composite score of several individual measurements, each resulting in a single score 0 ≤ si ≤ 4, with the number of measurements restricted to 3 (i=1, 2, 3), was successfully applied in the estimation of the therapeutic effect in this dose-finding study in allergy. The method is planned to be used as standard in analysis of the next clinical studies in allegry with conjuctival provocation.

Acknowledgements

The authors express deep thanks to Ms. Marie-Josefine Joisten and Dr. Alexander Henke for very useful remarks and suggestions.

References

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