alexa Nigeria Economic Recess versus Wagner’s Law and Keynesian Proposition
ISSN: 2162-6359

International Journal of Economics & Management Sciences
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Research Article

Nigeria Economic Recess versus Wagner’s Law and Keynesian Proposition

Adebayo Adedokun1* and Clement Olalekan Olaniyi2

1Department of Economics, Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria

2Department of Economics, Mountain-Top University, Ogun State, Nigeria

*Corresponding Author:
Adebayo Adedokun
Department of Economics
Obafemi Awolowo University, Nigeria
Tel: +234-803-643-1184
E-mail: [email protected]

Received Date: March 25, 2017; Accepted Date: April 27, 2017; Published Date: April 28, 2017

Citation: Adedokun A, Olaniyi CO (2017) Nigeria Economic Recess versus Wagner’s Law and Keynesian Proposition. Int J Econ Manag Sci 6: 424. doi: 10.4172/2162-6359.1000424

Copyright: © 2017 Adedokun A, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.



This study is a follow-up on effectiveness of government strategies to redress the current Nigeria economic recess. Specifically, the study examined the adequacy of public expenditure led approaches to retract the negative growth of national income. In order to achieve this, the paper examines the validity of Wagner’s law and Keynesian proposition in Nigeria using Toda and Yamamoto and Dolado and Lutkepohl (TYDL) approaches to causality within the frameworks of augmented VAR and Block Exogeneity Wald test. The study employed aggregate and disaggregated government expenditure under six different sub divisions. The results show that five of the six pairs of the expenditure components, which includes, total government expenditure, capital expenditure, expenditure on economic activities, expenditure on general administration and expenditure on agriculture support Wagner’s law, only expenditure on agriculture supports Keynesian proposition on bidirectional causality while no causality is found for recurrent expenditure. It is therefore evidenced that Wagner’s law is strongly supported in Nigeria, thus suggests that private sector led approach would be more appropriate for Nigeria economic recovery than the current expansionary fiscal policy approach of the government.


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