alexa Largest measles epidemic in North America in a decade--Quebec, Canada, 2011: contribution of susceptibility, serendipity, and superspreading events.
Immunology

Immunology

Journal of Vaccines & Vaccination

Author(s): De Serres G, Markowski F, Toth E, Landry M, Auger D,

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Abstract BACKGROUND: The largest measles epidemic in North America in the last decade, occurred in 2011 in Quebec, Canada, where rates of 1- and 2-dose vaccine coverage among children 3 years of age were 95\%-97\% and 90\%, respectively, with 3\%-5\% unvaccinated. METHODS: Case patients identified through passive surveillance and outbreak investigation were contacted to determine clinical course, vaccination status, and possible source of infection. RESULTS: There were 21 measles importations and 725 cases. A superspreading event triggered by 1 importation resulted in sustained transmission and 678 cases. The overall incidence was 9.1 per 100,000; the highest incidence was in adolescents 12-17 years old (75.6 per 100,000), who comprised 56\% of case patients. Among adolescents, 22\% had received 2 vaccine doses. Outbreak investigation showed this proportion to have been an underestimate; active case finding identified 130\% more cases among 2-dose recipients. Two-dose recipients had milder illness and a significantly lower risk of hospitalization than those who were unvaccinated or single-dose recipients. CONCLUSIONS: A chance superspreading event revealed an overall level of immunity barely above the elimination threshold when unexpected vulnerability in 2-dose recipients was taken into account. Unvaccinated individuals remain the immunization priority, but a better understanding of susceptibility in 2-dose recipients is needed to define effective interventions if elimination is to be achieved. This article was published in J Infect Dis and referenced in Journal of Vaccines & Vaccination

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