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Climate Change 2016
October 27-29, 2016
Volume 7, Issue 9(Suppl) J Earth Sci Clim Change
ISSN: 2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal
conferenceseries .com
October 24-26, 2016 Valencia, Spain
World Conference onClimate Change
Forecasting about variations of hydro-meteorogical variables in the future using SVAT model and
RCP scenarios
Daeun Kim1 Kiyoung Kim1 and Minha Choi2,
1Hanyang University, Korea
2Sungkyunkwan University, Korea
C limate change is one of the urgent problems in various fields such as politics, economy, society, and culture, which is what
we have to conquer. The climate change also have influenced on water resources which was closely related with human
life. Especially, the water management is mightily significant issue for maintenance of connection with climate system, human
society and environment. Thus, the forecasting of climate change effect in water resources is important to prepare the various
risks of it. For the forecasting about variations of hydro-meteorological variables in the future, the Soil-Vegetation-Atmospheric
Transfers (SVAT) models have been widely used because of its accuracy. Among them, the Common Land Model (CLM)
is advanced SVAT model that often utilized to estimate hydro-meteorological variables in water resources. In addition, the
Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios that were introduced by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC) were employed to research the future variations. In this study, we identified the variations of major energy fluxes such
as net radiation, sensible heat flux, and latent heat flux in the past and future in East Asia. The energy fluxes were estimated
using CLM and historical data, RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios which were selected to represent the differences between each
scenario. The estimated energy fluxes were analyzed according to climatic regions which were classified by Köppen and Geiger.
The results using CLM and RCP scenarios were compared with in-situ data and each other’s and were showed time series of
estimated energy fluxes according to climatic regions.
Biography
Daeun Kim has completed her PhD in 2016 from Hanyang University and Post-doctoral studies from Sungkyunkwan University. Her Director is Dr. Minha Choi in
graduated school of water resources.
Daeun Kim et al., J Earth Sci Clim Change 2016, 7:9(Suppl)