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Volume 8, Issue 9 (Suppl)

J Earth Sci Clim Change

ISSN: 2157-7617 JESCC, an open access journal

Climate Congress 2017

October 16-17, 2017

Page 12

Notes:

conference

series

.com

October 16-17, 2017 Dubai, UAE

3

rd

World Congress on

Climate Change and Global Warming

Increasing losses caused by extreme weather events: What are the drivers and what is the role of

climate change?

L

osses caused by natural disasters are a major factor influencing the balance sheet of insurers, especially reinsurers. Such

events have a high potential of creating extreme accumulation losses. This is why the insurance industry has built up a lot

of expertise in analyses and assess-ment of trends of losses caused by natural perils. Such losses have increased tremendously

worldwide in the last decades. In order to detect the drivers of this trend the losses have to be adjusted for changes in exposed

values. Munich Re just recently has developed a very sophisticated method for such a normalization of losses. After this

normalization a still residual loss trend can be either driven by changes in the vulnerability of assets or on the hazard side. The

results of such analyses with data of the Munich Re Nat Cat SERVICE database clearly show that in the last decades the main

drivers of the loss trend have been changes in the exposure of values, i.e., growth of population and wealth in affected regions.

Also a shift of population into more hazardous regions, especially to the coasts is increasing the losses. On the other side a

clear signal of prevention measures, e.g., investment into flood protection, already can be detected in decreasing normalized

losses caused by river floods, even though the number of intense precipitation events has increased. For thunderstorm related

loss events the number of events as well as the normalized losses has increased significantly in North America and Europe.

There is a suggestion that these increases are driven by an increase in the humidity of the lower atmosphere and thus, that

this is a secondary effect of climate change. As global warming will continue in the coming decades, its contribution to

increasing natural catastrophe losses will become more prominent, a projection also given by the 5

th

assessment report of the

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Biography

Peter Hoeppe is the Chairman of the Munich Climate Insurance Initiative, which he founded in 2005 and had been appointed as Climate Change Advisor of the

Bavarian State Government. He has completed his Masters and PhD in Meteorology and Human Biology.

phoeppe@munichre.com

Peter Hoeppe

Munich Re, Germany

Peter Hoeppe, J Earth Sci Clim Change 2017, 8:9 (Suppl)

DOI: 10.4172/2157-7617-C1-032