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Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rate

he precise prediction of foreign exchange rate is very important for international traders and investors. This study adopts nonlinear grey Bernoulli model (NGBM) and Nash NGBM (NNGBM) to predict the currency exchange rate of Taiwan’s two top trading partners, America and China. The simulation results show that Taiwan’s currency will appreciate against USD and CNY from the fourth quarter of 2015 to the second quarter of 2016. The conclusions can act as reference for international traders and investors.

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