Wheat Production: Food Security

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Wheat Production: Food Security

Providing production forecasts of main food commodities to food security planners may lead to improved production planning decisions in any country or region. Cognizant of this fact, this study forecasts the future wheat production gaps (PG) in Pakistan for 13 years (2013-2025) at two different levels of consumption, i.e. 125 kg/capita/annum and 150 kg/capita/annum. Findings of the study reveal that at the level of 125 kg/capita/annum, the gap between wheat grain availability and national requirement will increase from -0.17 million tonnes (MT) in 2013 to around -0.50 MT in 2025. Likewise, at the level of 150 kg/capita/annum, the gap will increase from nearly -5.0 MT in 2013 to almost -7.0 MT in 2025. It implies that PG will deepen in coming years that will increase the chances of higher food insecurity in the country. In view of this, planners need to revamp their strategies to cope with future food insecurity challenges.

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