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Forecasting of Strong Earthquakes Mandgt;6 According to Energy Approach | OMICS International| Abstract
ISSN: 2157-7617

Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change
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  • Research Article   
  • J Earth Sci Clim Change,
  • DOI: 10.4172/2157-7617.1000433

Forecasting of Strong Earthquakes M>6 According to Energy Approach

Venelin Jivkov1, Venkatanathan Natarajan2, Anelya Paneva3 and Philip Philipoff4*
1Department of Sciences, Technical University-Sofia, 8 Kliment Ohridsky Boulevards, Bulgaria
2School of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, SASTRA University, Thanjavur, India
3Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, University of Oldenburg, Germany
4Institut po Mehanika Balgarska Akademija na Naukite, Solid Mechanics, , Sofia, Bulgaria
*Corresponding Author : Philip Philipoff, Institut po Mehanika Balgarska Akademija na Naukite, Solid Mechanics, Sofia, Bulgaria, Tel: +359988819190 Exn. +359888281175, Email: [email protected], [email protected]

Received Date: Oct 06, 2017 / Accepted Date: Dec 12, 2017 / Published Date: Dec 15, 2017


The temperature radiation (by the Outgoing Longwave Radiation method) is used for the earthquake forecasting. The data are obtained by satellite systems. Earthquakes with magnitudes M>6 are investigated. The quantity criteria for earthquake forecasting estimation are elaborated in the study. The average of the output resistance is calculated for double year period before the crash for the specific areas of the Earth's surface (fair circle). Two values are compered in the study: 1) the average value for the double year period before the crash and 2) the instantaneous value of the emissions in the year of disaster occurred. This comparison defines time interval. In this time interval is realized the most quantity energy, due collision between the earth plates.

The values of: coefficients of OLR variations, the maximum value of radiated energy [kWh/m2] and the time interval of disaster occurred are calculated for ten earthquakes.

Work hypothesis for strong earthquake forecasting (maximum value of radiated energy in kWh/m2 and time period in days) is presented in the study. This hypothesis is based on obtained results and trends.

Keywords: Outgoing longwave radiation; Energy approach; Strong earthquakes forecasting

Citation: Jivkov V, Natarajan V, Paneva A, Philipoff P (2017) Forecasting of Strong Earthquakes M>6 According to Energy Approach. J Earth Sci Clim Change 8: 433. Doi: 10.4172/2157-7617.1000433

Copyright: ©2017 Jivkov V, et al. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricteduse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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